Debt redemption fund and fiscal incentives

被引:0
|
作者
Barucci, Emilio [1 ]
Brachetta, Matteo [1 ]
Marazzina, Daniele [2 ]
机构
[1] Politecn Milan, Dept Math, Milan, Italy
[2] Politecn Milan, Dept Math, Piazza Leonardo Da Vinci 32, I-20133 Milan, Italy
关键词
Public debt; Redemption Fund; Stochastic optimal control; PUBLIC DEBT; STABILIZATION GAMES; MONETARY UNION; MODEL; CONSOLIDATION; AUSTERITY;
D O I
10.1016/j.cnsns.2023.107094
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
We investigate a stochastic optimal control model for the management of public debt when part of the national debt is transferred to a Redemption Fund, which is allowed to finance itself in the market at a low interest rate, in exchange of the commitment to a fiscal consolidation plan by the national government both for the national debt and the Fund. The Fund is an interesting option for countries with high debt-GDP ratio and weak fundamentals. However, we show that it is not a free lunch in a sense that a country with a higher public debt should transfer a larger amount of resources to cut down the Fund. We calibrate the model to the experience of Euro zone countries with a high debt, showing that it is possible to design the mechanism allowing to pay back the Redemption Fund and stabilizing both the national debt and the fiscal surplus with a reduction of the fiscal effort. (c) 2023 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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页数:18
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