We construct a news sentiment index at the firm level by using textual analysis of news articles and find that dispersion in news sentiment is a significant predictor of corporate bond returns. Bonds of firms with high dispersion in news sentiment have a highly significant average return of 7.38 percent. A portfolio that longs bonds with high dispersion in news sentiments and shorts bonds with low dispersion earns an average biweekly return of 8.53 percent. This finding is in line with an argument that dispersion in news sentiment is a proxy for future cash flow uncertainty.
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Cornell Univ, Dept Econ, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA
Xiamen Univ, Wang Yanan Inst Studies Econ, Xiamen 361005, Peoples R China
Xiamen Univ, MOE Key Lab Econometr, Xiamen 361005, Peoples R ChinaSUNY Buffalo, Sch Management, Buffalo, NY 14260 USA
Hong, Yongmiao
Lin, Hai
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Univ Otago, Dept Accountancy & Finance, Dunedin 9054, New Zealand
Victoria Univ Wellington, Sch Econ & Finance, Wellington 6140, New ZealandSUNY Buffalo, Sch Management, Buffalo, NY 14260 USA
Lin, Hai
Wu, Chunchi
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SUNY Buffalo, Sch Management, Buffalo, NY 14260 USASUNY Buffalo, Sch Management, Buffalo, NY 14260 USA