Reconstructing Long-Term Forest Age of China by Combining Forest Inventories, Satellite-Based Forest Age and Forest Cover Data Sets

Forest age is one of the most important ecosystem characters for accurately estimating the magnitude and potential of carbon sink in forest ecosystems. During the past 40 years, national ecological restoration projects have led to the near doubling of the forest cover area in China, which has also substantially affected the dynamics of forest age. Therefore, there is an urgent need to generate long-term forest age maps for China. This study reconstructed China forest age datasets (CFAD) from 1980 to 2015 at five year intervals at a 1 km spatial resolution by merging a satellite-based forest age map in 2010 and forest cover dynamic maps from 1980 to 2015. The random forest method was used to reconstruct the forest age where forest age could not be inferred from the forest age base map in 2010 directly. CFAD showed a good agreement with the province-level mean forest age derived from the several national forest inventories (R-2 ranged from 0.66 to 0.86). In general, the younger forests are mainly distributed in southern and eastern China. The older forests are mainly distributed in the mountain areas of northeast, northwest and southwest China. The average age of China's forests increased from 18.2 to 44.0 years old from 1980 to 2015. Based on the current forest age and future afforestation planning, the average forest age in China is predicted to reach 71.6 years old in 2060. The CFAD provides an alternative data set to obtain improved estimates of local and national forest carbon sinks in China.