Approximate exchangeability and de Finetti priors in 2022

被引:2
|
作者
Diaconis, Persi [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Stanford Univ, Dept Math, Sequoia Hall,390 Jane Stanford Way, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
[2] Stanford Univ, Dept Stat, Sequoia Hall,390 Jane Stanford Way, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
algebraic statistics; Bayesian statistics; de Finetti's theorem; informative priors; partial exchangeability; MARKOV MOMENT PROBLEM; THEOREM;
D O I
10.1111/sjos.12609
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
This is a review paper, beginning with de Finetti's work on partial exchangeability, continuing with his approach to approximate exchangeability, and then his (surprising) approach to assigning informative priors in nonstandard situations. Recent progress on Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for drawing conclusions is supplemented by a review of work by Gerencser and Ottolini on getting honest bounds for rates of convergence. The paper concludes with a speculative approach to combining classical asymptotics with Monte Carlo. This promises real speed-ups and makes a nice example of how theory and computation can interact.
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页码:38 / 53
页数:16
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