Adversarial meta-learning of Gamma-minimax estimators that leverage prior knowledge

被引:0
|
作者
Qiu, Hongxiang [1 ]
Luedtke, Alex [2 ]
机构
[1] Michigan State Univ, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, E Lansing, MI 48824 USA
[2] Univ Washington, Dept Stat, Seattle, WA USA
来源
ELECTRONIC JOURNAL OF STATISTICS | 2023年 / 17卷 / 02期
关键词
Gamma-minimax estimation; machine learning; IGNORABILITY; ALGORITHM; NETWORKS; NUMBER;
D O I
10.1214/23-EJS2151
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Bayes estimators are well known to provide a means to incorporate prior knowledge that can be expressed in terms of a single prior distribution. However, when this knowledge is too vague to express with a single prior, an alternative approach is needed. Gamma-minimax estimators provide such an approach. These estimators minimize the worst-case Bayes risk over a set Gamma of prior distributions that are compatible with the available knowledge. Traditionally, Gammaminimaxity is defined for parametric models. In this work, we define Gamma-minimax estimators for general models and propose adversarial meta-learning algorithms to compute them when the set of prior distributions is constrained by generalized moments. Accompanying convergence guarantees are also provided. We also introduce a neural network class that provides a rich, but finite-dimensional, class of estimators from which a Gamma-minimax estimator can be selected. We illustrate our method in two settings, namely entropy estimation and a prediction problem that arises in biodiversity studies.
引用
收藏
页码:1996 / 2043
页数:48
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