A Definition and Prediction Method for Wind Power Low Output Events

被引：0

作者：

Xiong, Yuhan ^{[1
]}

Peng, Xiaosheng ^{[2
]}

Zhou, Chaohui ^{[3
]}

Wang, Qingliang ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, China EU Inst Clean & Renewable Energy, Wuhan, Peoples R China

[2] Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Elect & Elect Engn, Wuhan, Peoples R China

[3] State Grid Fujian Elect Power Co Ltd, Fuzhou, Peoples R China

来源：

2023 IEEE/IAS INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEM ASIA, I&CPS ASIA | 2023年

关键词：

low output event; wind power prediction; fluctuation process; definition rules;

D O I：

10.1109/ICPSASIA58343.2023.10294557

中图分类号：

TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];

学科分类号：

0807 ; 0820 ;

摘要：

Low output event refers to the phenomenon of continuous low output fluctuation in the process of new energy power generation. Accurate prediction of low output event can detect the adverse effects of weather processes on power generation in advance, and provide assistance in ensuring the safety and stability of power consumption. This paper proposed a definition and prediction method for wind power low output events. First, the definition rules are proposed based on the fluctuation process partitioning and the selection of time and threshold value. Second, the historical power sequence is processed by high and low frequency filtering. Then, the low output event prediction model is constructed based on wind power prediction. Finally, the evaluation indexes are proposed to assess the prediction result. The case study of a wind farm in Northeast China shows that the low output event prediction method proposed in this paper is effective.

引用

页码：2335 / 2340

页数：6

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