Better wind forecasting using Evolutionary Neural Architecture search driven Green Deep Learning

被引:20
|
作者
Pujari, Keerthi Nagasree [1 ]
Miriyala, Srinivas Soumitri [1 ]
Mittal, Prateek [2 ]
Mitra, Kishalay [1 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Indian Inst Technol Hyderabad, Dept Chem Engn, Kandi, India
[2] UCL, Dept Comp Sci, London, England
[3] Indian Inst Technol Hyderabad, Adjunct Fac, Dept Climate Change, Kandi, India
关键词
Renewable energy; Wind characteristics forecasting; Neural architecture search; Green deep learning; Effective wind farm design; HYPERPARAMETER OPTIMIZATION; SPEED; MODEL; TIME; PREDICTION; NETWORKS;
D O I
10.1016/j.eswa.2022.119063
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
Climate Change heavily impacts global cities, the downsides of which can be minimized by adopting renewables like wind energy. However, despite its advantages, the nonlinear nature of wind renders the forecasting ap-proaches to design and control wind farms ineffective. To expand the research horizon, the current study a) analyses and performs statistical decomposition of real-world wind time-series data, b) presents the application of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, Nonlinear Auto-Regressive (NAR) models, and Wavelet Neural Networks (WNN) as efficient models for accurate wind forecasting with a comprehensive comparison among them to justify their application and c) proposes an evolutionary multi-objective strategy for Neural Architecture Search (NAS) to minimize the computational cost associated with training and inferring the networks which form the central theme of Green Deep Learning. Balancing the trade-off between parsimony and prediction accuracy, the proposed NAS strategy could optimally design NAR, WNN, and LSTM models with a mean test accuracy of 99%. The robust methodologies discussed in this work not only accurately model the wind behavior but also provide a green & generic approach for designing Deep Neural Networks.
引用
收藏
页数:28
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