How important is the real exchange rate for exports and growth?

被引:3
|
作者
Blecker, Robert A. [1 ]
机构
[1] Amer Univ, Washington, DC 20016 USA
关键词
real exchange rate; economic growth; overvaluation; export performance; structural change; traverse; ECONOMIC-GROWTH; THIRLWALLS LAW; CAPITAL ACCUMULATION; STRUCTURAL-CHANGE; BALANCE; INCONSISTENCY; TECHNOLOGY; FALLACY; MODELS;
D O I
10.4337/ejeep.2023.0099
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Economists have long debated whether the real exchange rate (RER) has a significant impact on export performance and output growth. Some claim that export performance depends only on non price competition and the RER is irrelevant to long-run growth, whereas others argue that the RER is a key variable for promoting long-run economic development. Neither extreme view is supported by recent empirical evidence. Most econometric studies find significant effects of RERs on exports and growth, but subject to numerous qualifications. For example, RER effects on exports differ by type of goods exported, while the negative effects of overvaluation on growth may be stronger than the positive effects of undervaluation. Even if RER effects on growth rates are found only for medium-run transitions, these may imply a long-run impact on levels of output.
引用
收藏
页码:250 / 265
页数:16
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Exchange rate exposure and real exports
    Solakoglu, Mehmet Nihat
    [J]. APPLIED ECONOMICS LETTERS, 2010, 17 (05) : 457 - 462
  • [2] Real Exchange Rate and External Balance: How Important Are Price Deflators?
    Ahn, Jaebin
    Mano, Rui C.
    Zhou, Jing
    [J]. JOURNAL OF MONEY CREDIT AND BANKING, 2020, 52 (08) : 2111 - 2130
  • [3] How do manufacturing exports react to the real exchange rate and foreign demand? The Chilean case
    Fornero, Jorge A.
    Fuentes D, Miguel A.
    Gatty Sangama, Andres
    [J]. WORLD ECONOMY, 2020, 43 (01): : 274 - 300
  • [4] ECONOMIC GROWTH, REAL EXCHANGE RATE AND MEXICO'S MANUFACTURING EXPORTS, 1998-2020
    Martinez, Ana Erika Castaneda
    Gonzalez, Teresa Lopez
    [J]. INVESTIGACION ECONOMICA, 2023, 82 (323): : 53 - 79
  • [5] The Impact of Real Exchange Rate Flexibility on East Asian Exports
    Rahman, Mizanur
    [J]. WORLD ECONOMY, 2009, 32 (07): : 1075 - 1090
  • [6] Real exchange rate undervaluation and Indonesia's manufacturing exports
    Rasbin
    Ikhsan, Mohamad
    Y. Gitaharies, Beta
    Affandi, Yoga
    [J]. COGENT ECONOMICS & FINANCE, 2021, 9 (01):
  • [7] Malaysia: how much exchange rate misalignment is detrimental to exports?
    Sidek, Noor Zahirah Mohd
    [J]. ECONOMICS, TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT, 2011, 7 : 5 - 9
  • [8] The impact of the Renminbi real exchange rate on ASEAN disaggregated exports to China
    Hooy, Chee-Wooi
    Law, Siong-Hook
    Chan, Tze-Haw
    [J]. ECONOMIC MODELLING, 2015, 47 : 253 - 259
  • [9] THE EFFECT OF REAL EXCHANGE-RATE UNCERTAINTY ON LDC MANUFACTURED EXPORTS
    GROBAR, LM
    [J]. JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS, 1993, 41 (02) : 367 - 376
  • [10] HOW DO REAL EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENTS AFFECT THE ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IRAN?
    Zarei, Samira
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY ECONOMICS AND ADMINISTRATIVE SCIENCES, 2021, 11 (01): : 297 - 313