A Comparison of 3DEnVar and 4DEnVar for Convective-Scale Direct Radar Reflectivity Data Assimilation in the Context of a Filter and a Smoother

被引:0
|
作者
Yang, Yue [1 ]
Wanga, Xuguang [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Oklahoma, Sch Meteorol, Norman, OK 73019 USA
关键词
Convective storms; Radars/Radar observations; Data assimilation; Numerical weather prediction/forecasting; ENSEMBLE DATA ASSIMILATION; VARIATIONAL DATA ASSIMILATION; OSSE-BASED EVALUATION; SYSTEM DESCRIPTION; KALMAN SMOOTHER; MODEL; FORECASTS; LOCALIZATION; IMPACTS; PREDICTION;
D O I
10.1175/MWR-D-23-0082.1
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
The Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI)-based four-and three-dimensional ensemble-variational (4DEnVar and 3DEnVar) methods are compared as a smoother and a filter, respectively, for rapidly changing storms using the convective-scale direct radar reflectivity data assimilation (DA) framework. Two sets of experiments with varying DA window lengths (WLs; 20, 40, 100, and 160 min) and radar observation intervals (RIs; 20 and 5 min) are conducted for the 5-6 May 2019 case. The RI determines the temporal resolution of ensemble perturbations for the smoother and the DA in-terval for the filter spanning the WL. For experiments with a 20-min RI, evaluations suggest that the filter and the smoother have comparable performance with a 20-min WL; however, extending the WL results in the outperformance of the filter over the smoother. Diagnostics reveal that the degradation of the smoother is attributed to the increased degree of nonlinearity and the issue of time-independent localization as the WL extends. Evaluations for experiments with differ-ent RIs under the same WL indicate that the outperformance of the filter over the smoother diminishes for most forecast hours at thresholds of 30 dBZ and above when shortening the RI. Diagnostics show that more frequent interruptions of the model introduce model imbalance for the filter, and the increased temporal resolution of ensemble perturbations en-hances the degree of nonlinearity for the smoother. The impact of model imbalance on the filter overwhelms the enhanced nonlinearity on the smoother as the RI reduces.
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页码:59 / 78
页数:20
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