An Expert System Based on Data Mining for a Trend Diagnosis of Process Parameters

In order to diagnose abnormal trends in the process parameters of industrial production, the Expert System based on rolling data Kernel Principal Component Analysis (ES-KPCA) and Support Vector Data Description (ES-SVDD) are proposed in this paper. The expert system is capable of identifying large-scale trend changes and abnormal fluctuations in process parameters using data mining techniques, subsequently triggering timely alarms. The system consists of a rule-based assessment of process parameter stability to evaluate whether the process parameters are stable. Also, when the parameters are unstable, the rolling data-based KPCA and SVDD methods are used to diagnose abnormal trends. ES-KPCA and ES-SVDD methods require adjusting seven threshold parameters during the offline parameter adjustment phase. The system obtains the adjusted parameters and performs a real-time diagnosis of process parameters based on the set diagnosis interval during the online diagnosis phase. The ES-KPCA and ES-SVDD methods emphasize the real-time alarms and the first alarm of process parameter abnormal trends, respectively. Finally, the system validates the experimental data from UniSim simulation and a chemical plant. The results show that the expert system has an outstanding diagnostic performance for abnormal trends in process parameters.