Social externalities of women empowerment: Evidence from suffrage movements of late nineteenth and early twentieth century United States

Previous literature suggests that empowering women is associated with children's improved outcomes. However, little is known about its effects on children's later-life crime and incarceration. We argue that women empowerment through suffrage law changes during the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries in the US generated incentives for women to invest in their children's human capital. The accumulated human capital then has the potential to reduce future incarceration of children. We use full-count censuses 1920-1930, implement a difference-in-difference framework, and empirically show that childhood exposure to suffrage laws is associated with considerable reductions in incarceration. The effects appear to be primarily driven by decreases in male and Black incarceration. The balancing tests rule out the concern that the effects are driven by demographic compositional changes or endogenous changes in other state-level characteristics. Furthermore, an event-study analysis rejects the concern that the effects are driven by preexisting trends in incarceration among exposed cohorts. The findings of this research note offer informative implications for overlooked externalities of women empowerment in a historical setting.