This article provides an account of the worldwide economic impact of the COVID-19 shock. In 2020, it severely impacted output growth and employment, particularly in middle-income countries. Governments responded pri-marily by increasing expenditure, supported by an expansion of the supply of money and debt. These policies did not put upward pressure on prices until 2021. International trade was severely disrupted across all regions in 2020 but subsequently recovered. For 2021, we find that the adverse effects of the COVID-19 shock on output and prices were significant and persistent, especially in emerging and developing countries.
机构:
Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Econ, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
Univ Calif Berkeley, Ctr Effect Global Act, Berkeley, CA 94720 USAYale Univ, New Haven, CT USA
Miguel, Edward
Mobarak, Ahmed Mushfiq
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Yale Univ, New Haven, CT USAYale Univ, New Haven, CT USA