Modelling and forecasting volatility with high-frequency and VIX information: a component realized EGARCH model with VIX

被引:0
|
作者
Wu, Xinyu [1 ]
Xia, Michelle [2 ]
Li, Xindan [3 ]
机构
[1] Anhui Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Finance, 962 Caoshan Rd, Bengbu, Anhui, Peoples R China
[2] Northern Illinois Univ, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, De Kalb, IL 60115 USA
[3] Nanjing Univ, Sch Management & Engn, Nanjing, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Realized EGARCH; components volatility structure; high-frequency information; VIX; volatility forecasting; VALUE-AT-RISK; IMPLIED VOLATILITY; LONG-MEMORY; QUANTILE FORECASTS; ASSET RETURNS; STOCK; PREDICTION; EXCHANGE;
D O I
10.1080/00036846.2022.2102570
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper studies the joint use of high-frequency and VIX information to model and forecast volatility. Our framework relies on an extension of the realized EGARCH (REGARCH) model, namely the component REGARCH model with VIX (hereafter REGARCH(C)-VIX). The REGARCH(C)-VIX model facilitates exploitation of the high-frequency and VIX information through the inclusion of realized measure and VIX for modelling and forecasting volatility. Moreover, the model features a component volatility structure, which has the ability to capture the long memory volatility. An empirical investigation with the S&P 500 index shows that the REGARCH(C)-VIX model outperforms a variety of competing models in both empirical fit and out-of-sample volatility forecasting. Our findings provide strong evidence for including the high-frequency and VIX information as well as the component volatility structure to model and forecast volatility.
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页码:2273 / 2291
页数:19
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