Surface warming and wetting due to methane's long-wave radiative effects muted by short-wave absorption

被引:10
|
作者
Allen, Robert J. J. [1 ]
Zhao, Xueying [1 ]
Randles, Cynthia A. A. [2 ,8 ]
Kramer, Ryan J. J. [3 ,4 ]
Samset, Bjorn H. [5 ]
Smith, Christopher J. J. [6 ,7 ]
机构
[1] Univ Calif Riverside, Dept Earth & Planetary Sci, Riverside, CA 92521 USA
[2] ExxonMobil Technol & Engn Co, Annandale, NJ USA
[3] NASA Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Climate & Radiat Lab, Greenbelt, MD USA
[4] Univ Maryland Baltimore Cty, Goddard Earth Sci Technol & Research2, Baltimore, MD USA
[5] CICERO Ctr Int Climate & Environm Res Oslo, Oslo, Norway
[6] Univ Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Leeds, England
[7] Int Inst Appl Syst Anal IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria
[8] UNEP Int Methane Emiss Observ, Paris, France
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
CLIMATE; PRECIPITATION; AEROSOLS; PDRMIP; GASES;
D O I
10.1038/s41561-023-01144-z
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
Although greenhouse gases absorb primarily long-wave radiation, they also absorb short-wave radiation. Recent studies have highlighted the importance of methane short-wave absorption, which enhances its stratospherically adjusted radiative forcing by up to similar to 15%. The corresponding climate impacts, however, have been only indirectly evaluated and thus remain largely unquantified. Here we present a systematic, unambiguous analysis using one model and separate simulations with and without methane short-wave absorption. We find that methane short-wave absorption counteracts similar to 30% of the surface warming associated with its long-wave radiative effects. An even larger impact occurs for precipitation as methane short-wave absorption offsets similar to 60% of the precipitation increase relative to its long-wave radiative effects. The methane short-wave-induced cooling is due largely to cloud rapid adjustments, including increased low-level clouds, which enhance the reflection of incoming short-wave radiation, and decreased high-level clouds, which enhance outgoing long-wave radiation. The cloud responses, in turn, are related to the profile of atmospheric solar heating and corresponding changes in temperature and relative humidity. Despite our findings, methane remains a potent contributor to global warming, and efforts to reduce methane emissions are vital for keeping global warming well below 2 degrees C above preindustrial values. Climate simulations suggest that the contribution of methane to climate warming and wetting due to absorption of long-wave radiation is partially counteracted by short-wave absorption.
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页码:314 / +
页数:19
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