Lake volume and potential hazards of moraine-dammed glacial lakes - a casestudy of Bienong Co, southeastern Tibetan Plateau

被引:10
|
作者
Duan, Hongyu [1 ]
Yao, Xiaojun [1 ]
Zhang, Yuan [1 ]
Jin, Huian [2 ]
Wang, Qi [3 ]
Du, Zhishui [4 ]
Hu, Jiayu [1 ]
Wang, Bin [5 ]
Wang, Qianxun [6 ]
机构
[1] Northwest Normal Univ, Coll Geog & Environm Sci, Lanzhou 730070, Peoples R China
[2] Gansu Forestry Polytech, Tianshui 741020, Peoples R China
[3] Power China, China Renewable Energy Engn Inst, Beijing 100038, Peoples R China
[4] Power China, Northwest Engn Corp Ltd, Xian 710065, Peoples R China
[5] Xinjiang Transport Planning Survey & Design Inst C, Urumqi 830006, Peoples R China
[6] Capital Urban Planning & Design Consulting Dev Co, Beijing 100038, Peoples R China
来源
CRYOSPHERE | 2023年 / 17卷 / 02期
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
OUTBURST FLOODS; RISK-ASSESSMENT; MASS-LOSS; EVOLUTION; NEPAL; INVENTORY; HIMALAYAS; SUSCEPTIBILITY; IMPACTS; BREACH;
D O I
10.5194/tc-17-591-2023
中图分类号
P9 [自然地理学];
学科分类号
0705 ; 070501 ;
摘要
The existence of glacial lakes in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau (SETP) is a potential hazard to downstream regions, as the outburst of such lakes has the potential to result in disastrous glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs). In the present study, we conducted a comprehensive investigation of Bienong Co, a moraine-dammed glacial lake in the SETP. First, the lake basin morphology was determined, and the lake volume was estimated, showing that the maximum lake depth is similar to 181 m and the lake volume is similar to 102.3x10(6) m(3). These scenarios included the possibility of GLOFs being triggered by ice avalanches (Scenarios A1-3) from the mother glacier or by landslides from the lateral moraines (Scenarios B1-3 and C1-3). Avalanche volumes of the nine trigger scenarios were obtained from the Rapid Mass Movement Simulation (RAMMS) modeling results. Next, the Basic Simulation Environment for Computation of Environmental Flow and Natural Hazard Simulation (BASEMENT) model was used to simulate the generation and propagation of the avalanche-induced displacement waves in the lake. With the model, the overtopping flows and erosion on the moraine dam and the subsequent downstream floods were also simulated. The results indicate that the ice avalanche scenario may cause the largest mass volume entering the lake, resulting in a displacement wave up to 25.2 m in amplitude (Scenario A3) near the moraine dam. Landslide scenarios with smaller volumes entering the lake result in smaller displacement waves. Scenarios A1, A2, and A3 result in released water volumes from the lake of 24.1x10(6), 25.3x10(6), and 26.4x10(6) m(3), respectively. Corresponding peak discharges at the moraine dam are 4996, 7817, and 13 078 m(3) s(-1), respectively. These high discharges cause erosion of the moraine dam, resulting in breach widths of 295, 339, and 368 m, respectively, with the generally similar breach depth of approximately 19 m. In landslide scenarios, only overtopping flows generated by Scenarios B3 and C3 cause erosion on the moraine dam, with breach depths of 6.5 and 7.9 m and breach widths of 153 and 169 m, respectively. According to our simulations, GLOFs generated by Scenarios A1-3 all flow through 18 settlements downstream in 20 h, threatening more than half of them. Both Scenarios B3 and C3 produce GLOFs that flow through the first eight settlements downstream in 20 h and have a relatively small impact on them. Comparisons of the area, depth, and volume of glacial lakes for which the bathymetry data are available show that Bienong Co is the deepest known glacial lake with the same surface area on the Tibetan Plateau. This study could provide a new insight into moraine-dammed glacial lakes in the SETP and be a valuable reference for GLOF disaster prevention for the local government.
引用
收藏
页码:591 / 616
页数:26
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