Factors associated with child marriage during the COVID-19 pandemic in Indonesia

The aim of this study is to investigate factors associated with the applications of child marriage dispensation submitted to the Religious Courts during the COVID-19 pandemic in Indonesia, particularly in 2019-2021. The number of child marriage dispensation cases was analyzed together with other socioeconomic variables, including poverty and jobless rates, junior and senior high school completion rates, number of cerai talak (a divorce initiated by the husband) and cerai gugat (a divorce initiated by the wife) applications, number of COVID-19 positive cases, and number of deaths by COVID-19. The differences between 2021 and 2019 were analyzed using the paired t-test and repeated measures analysis of variance (ANOVA). The relationship between variables was analyzed using the Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient. Hierarchical multiple regression with the entering method was used to determine the predictors of the number of child marriage dispensation cases in the years 2019, 2020, and 2021 and the change from 2019 to 2021. New dispensation underage marriage applications in 2019, 2020, and 2021 were 24,457 (M =843, SD =1519), 63,391 (M = 2186, SD = 4085), and 62,167 (M = 2144, SD = 4058), which were significantly different (F(1.0, 28.6) = 7.63, p = .01) and positively correlated with poverty rate, jobless rate, cerai talak, cerai gugat, COVID-19 positive cases, and COVID-19 death cases. The multiple regression analysis for the change of dispensation underage marriage applications in the pandemic and before (years 2021-2019) was statistically significant, (F(6,22) = 117.62, p < .001), which the final model was able to account for 97% of the variance in new dispensation underage marriage applications. Collaborative multi-sector works are needed to decrease the skyrocketing child marriage numbers, especially in a crisis situation like the COVID-19 pandemic.