Learning-through-Survey in Inflation Expectations?

被引:18
|
作者
Kim, Gwangmin [1 ]
Binder, Carola [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Texas Austin, Austin, TX 78712 USA
[2] Haverford Coll, Haverford, PA USA
关键词
PHILLIPS-CURVE; STICKY PRICES; INFORMATION;
D O I
10.1257/mac.20200387
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
When surveys rely on repeat participants, this raises the possibil-ity that survey participation may affect future responses, perhaps by prompting information acquisition between survey waves. We show that these " learning-through-survey" effects are large for household inflation expectations. Repeat survey participants gener-ally have lower inflation expectations and uncertainty, particularly if their initial uncertainty was high. Consequently, repeat partici-pants may be more informed about or attentive to inflation. This has important implications: for example, inflation expectations of new participants are more influenced by oil prices, and estimates of the elasticity of intertemporal substitution are lower for new participants. (JEL C83, D84, E31, E37, E58)
引用
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页码:254 / 278
页数:25
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