Photovoltaic and wind energy potential in Europe-A systematic review

被引:21
|
作者
la Tour, Marie-Alix Dupre [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] RTE, French Elect Transmiss Syst Operator, Immeuble WINDOW 7C, Pl Dome, F-92073 Paris, France
[2] CIRED, Int Environm & Dev Res Ctr, 45 Bis,Ave Belle Gabrielle, F-94736 Nogent sur marne, Marne, France
来源
关键词
Systematic review; Renewable energy potential; Resource assessment; Energy transition long-term scenarios; SOLAR POWER; GENERATION; COUNTRIES; EXPLICIT; DISTANCE; TURBINES;
D O I
10.1016/j.rser.2023.113189
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
In a context of increased renewable energy development, a growing number of studies are seeking to determine its potential. Their results provide a crucial input to long-term energy planning studies, dispatch simulations , energy policy design. This study conducts a systematic literature review of photovoltaic and wind energy po-tential in Europe to identify good practice in the calculation of such potential and compares the values obtained in the literature. The potential values are very heterogeneous , the reasons for these differences are analyzed. 74% of these values exceed the capacities planned in energy transition long-term scenarios, confirming that such scenarios generally take into account studies of potential. This hides disparities, depending on the country and the technology: in general, wind power is more constrained than photovoltaics, and in particular several esti-mates for offshore wind power potential in Germany are lower than the capacities envisioned in some energy transition scenarios. Because the technical criteria are not limiting, some studies assessing potentials include other - political or aesthetic - criteria to give plausible development values for the potential. Assessments of renewable potential should be more explicit and cautious in their treatment of these criteria because the latter are linked to political will, hence their relevance to quantify a "potential", as opposed to a politically plausible scenario, is debatable.
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页数:18
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