Ambiguity and partial Bayesian updating

被引:2
|
作者
Kovach, Matthew [1 ]
机构
[1] Purdue Univ, Dept Econ, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA
关键词
Ambiguity aversion; Dynamic consistency; Full Bayesian updating; Maximum likelihood updating; Partial Bayesian updating; D01; D81; D83; PREFERENCES; SAVAGE;
D O I
10.1007/s00199-023-01528-7
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Models of updating a set of priors either do not allow a decision maker to make inference about her priors (full bayesian updating or FB) or require an extreme degree of selection (maximum likelihood updating or ML). I characterize a general method for updating a set of priors, partial bayesian updating (PB), in which the decision maker (1) utilizes an event-dependent threshold to determine whether a prior is likely enough, conditional on observed information, and then (2) applies Bayes' rule to the sufficiently likely priors. I show that PB nests FB and ML and explore its behavioral properties.
引用
收藏
页码:155 / 180
页数:26
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [2] Updating Ambiguity Averse Preferences
    Hanany, Eran
    Klibanoff, Peter
    [J]. B E JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL ECONOMICS, 2009, 9 (01):
  • [3] Deductive Updating Is Not Bayesian
    Markovits, Henry
    Brisson, Janie
    de Chantal, Pier-Luc
    [J]. JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL PSYCHOLOGY-LEARNING MEMORY AND COGNITION, 2015, 41 (04) : 949 - 956
  • [4] BAYESIAN UPDATING REVISITED
    WOODBURY, AD
    [J]. MATHEMATICAL GEOLOGY, 1989, 21 (03): : 285 - 308
  • [5] Bayesian rules of updating
    Howson, C
    [J]. PROBABILITY, DYNAMICS AND CAUSALITY: ESSAYS IN HONOUR OF RICHARD C. JEFFREY, 1997, : 55 - 68
  • [6] PARTIAL AMBIGUITY
    Chew, Soo Hong
    Miao, Bin
    Zhong, Songfa
    [J]. ECONOMETRICA, 2017, 85 (04) : 1239 - 1260
  • [7] Ambiguity and the Bayesian Paradigm
    Gilboa, Itzhak
    Marinacci, Massimo
    [J]. ADVANCES IN ECONOMICS AND ECONOMETRICS, VOL I: ECONOMIC THEORY, 2013, (49): : 179 - 242
  • [8] An update on Bayesian updating
    Holt, Charles A.
    Smith, Angela M.
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR & ORGANIZATION, 2009, 69 (02) : 125 - 134
  • [9] The Evolution of Bayesian Updating
    Okasha, Samir
    [J]. PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE, 2013, 80 (05) : 745 - 757
  • [10] BAYESIAN AND NON-BAYESIAN EVIDENTIAL UPDATING
    KYBURG, HE
    [J]. ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, 1987, 31 (03) : 271 - 293