Surface Subsidence Prediction Method for Backfill Mining in Shallow Coal Seams with Hard Roofs for Building Protection

The mining of shallow coal seams with hard roofs poses a threat to surface structures. In order to ensure the protection of these buildings, backfill mining is increasingly used in these types of coal seams. However, due to the lack of appropriate surface subsidence prediction methods, there are concerns about whether backfill mining can meet the requirements of building protection. In this study, through numerical simulation and physical experiments, the movement characteristics of the strata and surface were studied in the backfill mining of a shallow coal seam with a hard roof. Our results indicate that the backfilling ratio significantly influences strata movement and surface subsidence. As the backfilling ratio increases, the surface deformation in the backfill under the hard roof of the shallow coal seam transitions from discontinuous to continuous. When the backfilling ratio exceeds 60%, the deformation characteristics of the overburden and surface align with the probability integral method model. Consequently, a novel surface subsidence prediction method for backfill mining in shallow coal seams under hard roofs is proposed. This method was successfully applied at Yungang Mine, validating its effectiveness. These research findings have significant practical implications for the design of backfill mining in shallow coal seams under hard roofs.