Government spending multipliers;
real cost channel;
zero lower bound;
Markov chain;
bounded rationality;
OPTIMAL MONETARY-POLICY;
FISCAL-POLICY;
GUIDANCE;
DYNAMICS;
SHOCKS;
TIME;
D O I:
10.1017/S1365100523000251
中图分类号:
F [经济];
学科分类号:
02 ;
摘要:
In the benchmark New Keynesian (NK) model, I introduce the real cost channel to study government spending multipliers and provide simple Markov chain closed-form solutions. This model departs fundamentally from most previous interpretations of the nominal cost channel by flattening the NK Phillips Curve in liquidity traps. At the zero lower bound, I show analytically that following positive government spending shocks, the real cost channel can make inflation rise less than in a model without this channel. This then causes a smaller drop in real interest rates, resulting in a lower output gap multiplier. Finally, I confirm the robustness of the real cost channel's effect on multipliers using extensions of two models.
机构:
Renmin Univ China, China Financial Policy Res Ctr, Sch Finance, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaRenmin Univ China, China Financial Policy Res Ctr, Sch Finance, Beijing, Peoples R China
Li, Rong
Wei, Ning
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机构:
Renmin Univ China, Sch Finance, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaRenmin Univ China, China Financial Policy Res Ctr, Sch Finance, Beijing, Peoples R China