Predicted serotype-specific effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines V114 and PCV20 against invasive pneumococcal disease in children

Background: Next-generation, higher-valency pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs), 15-valent PCV V114 and 20-valent PCV (PCV20), have been assessed by comparing their immune responses across serotypes shared with the 13-valent PCV (PCV13). Without efficacy or real-world vaccine effectiveness (VE) it becomes important to relate IgG titers to VE to aid in the interpretation of the immune response elicited by V114 and PCV20.Methods: We estimated the protective antibody concentrations for each serotype in 7-valent PCV (PCV7) and PCV13 which were then used to predict the serotype-specific VE for each PCV7 and PCV13 non PCV7 serotype present in V114 and PCV20.Results: The predicted effectiveness of V114 was comparable to PCV7 and PCV13 for 11 of the 13 shared serotypes (1, 4, 5, 6B, 7F, 9 V, 14, 18C, 19A, 19F, and 23F), with improved effectiveness against serotype 3 and decreased effectiveness against serotype 6A. PCV20 had predicted effectiveness comparable to PCV7 and PCV13 for 7 of the 13 shared serotypes (5, 6A, 7F, 9 V, 18C, 19F, and 23F), with decreased effectiveness against the remaining serotypes (1, 3, 4, 6B, 14, and 19A).Conclusions: Prediction of serotype-specific VE values suggests that V114 retains greater effectiveness than PCV20 toward most serotypes present in PCV7 and PCV13.