MODELING AND FORECASTING OF AREA, PRODUCTION AND PRODUCTIVITY OF BANANA (MUSA PARADISIACA) CROP IN ANDHRA PRADESH BY USING NON-LINEAR AND ARIMA APPROACHES

被引：0
|
作者：
Shafiya, R. [1 ]
Naidu, G. Mohan [1 ]
Rao, S. Govinda [2 ]
Rishitha, G. M. [3 ]
机构：
[1] SV Agr Coll, Dept Stat & Comp Applicat, Tirupati 517502, India
[2] Agr Coll, Dept Stat & Comp Applicat, Naira 532185, India
[3] Vellore Inst Technol, Comp Sci & Engn, Vellore 632014, Tamil Nadu, India
来源：
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL AND STATISTICAL SCIENCES | 2023年 / 19卷 / 02期
关键词：
Growth rates; Linear; Non-linear; ARIMA models; Ljung-Box Q test ($)over-bar(2); RMSE and MAE;
D O I：
10.59467/IJASS.2023.19.805
中图分类号：
S [农业科学];
学科分类号：
09 ;
摘要：
An effort was made to investigate the behavior of the area, production and productivity of banana (Musa paradisiaca) crop grown during the period 1962-63 to 2017-18 in Andhra Pradesh by using linear, non-linear and ARIMA approaches. ARIMA (2,1,1), ARIMA (2,1,2) and ARIMA (1,2,1) models were chosen to fit the trends and to forecast area, production and productivity based on model selection criteria such as (R) over bar (2), RMSE and MAE. The forecasted results indicated that there was an increasing trend in area, production and productivity of banana.
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页码：805 / 812
页数：8
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