Asymmetric relationship between money supply and house prices in states across the U.S

被引:3
|
作者
Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen [1 ,2 ]
Ghodsi, Hesam [3 ]
Hadzic, Muris [4 ]
Marfatia, Hardik [5 ]
机构
[1] Univ Wisconsin, Ctr Res Int Econ, Milwaukee, WI 53211 USA
[2] Univ Wisconsin, Dept Econ, Milwaukee, WI 53211 USA
[3] Charles Schwab & Co Inc, Dept Risk Analyt Modeling Model Risk Oversight, Denver, CO USA
[4] Lake Forest Coll, Dept Econ Business & Finance, Lake Forest, IL 60045 USA
[5] NE Illinois Univ, Dept Econ, Chicago, IL 60625 USA
关键词
The U; S; money supply; house prices; nonlinear ARDL approach; asymmetry; UNITED-STATES; DETERMINANTS; SYNCHRONIZATION; COINTEGRATION; BEHAVIOR;
D O I
10.1080/00036846.2022.2116390
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
There is an intricate link between money supply and house prices. However, housing markets have downward price rigidity, different supply elasticities, and changing market sentiments. Thus, the response of house prices to expansionary monetary policy shocks differs from contractionary shocks. We use an asymmetric/nonlinear autoregressive distributive lag (NARDL) approach to estimate the asymmetric effects of money supply on house prices in each state in the U.S. a practice that makes our study differ from previous research. The house price growth in 38 states responds symmetrically to money supply changes in the short run. However, in 48 states, positive changes in money supply impact house prices differently from negative changes in the short run. In addition, there is a long-run relationship between money supply and house prices, but only when we account for asymmetries.
引用
收藏
页码:3580 / 3608
页数:29
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