Correlating CO2 emissions of cities with the inter-city carbon compensation mechanism: a regional perspective in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River (MRYR), China

This study investigates the degree of spatial correlation between carbon emissions and ecological support coefficients among cities in the middle reaches of Yangtze River (MRYR) region by using social network analysis method and spatial autocorrelation analysis. The actual carbon compensation quota (ACCQ) of each city in MRYR is also calculated based on the carbon revenue and expenditure method, and the theoretical carbon compensation quota (TCCQ) is obtained by introducing technology level and ecological value factors. The results show that (1) carbon sinks in the MRYR region increased very little, while carbon emissions increased significantly during the study period, resulting in an overall carbon deficit in 2015. (2) Wuhan and Changsha, as regional economic centers, are at the center of the carbon emission spatial network, with significant carbon emission spillover. (3) The ecological carrying capacity of the MRYR region showed a spatial and temporal pattern of decline at the center and stability at the periphery. (4) The TCCQ is more convergent in revenues and expenditures than the ACCQ and is more suitable for government policymaking. Based on these findings, we recommend that governments establish regional carbon emission quota systems and horizontal carbon compensation mechanisms based on carbon budget accounting.