Why Do Some Patients Have Severe Sacroiliac Disease But No Syndesmophytes in Ankylosing Spondylitis ? Data From a Nested Case-Control Study

Objective. Sacroiliac (SI) joint and spinal inflammation are characteristic of ankylosing spondylitis (AS), but some patients with AS have been identified who have discordant radiographic disease. We studied an AS subgroup with long-standing disease and fused SI joints. We identified factors associated with discrepant degrees of radiographic damage between the SI joints and spine.Methods. From the Prospective Study of Outcomes in AS (PSOAS) cohort, patients with a disease duration >= 20 years and fused SI joints were included in a nested case-control design. Patients with and without syndesmophytes were used as cases and controls for analysis. We used classification and regression tree (CART) analysis to determine risk factors for syndesmophytes presence and reexamined the validity of the risk factors using univariable logistic regression models.Results. There were 354 patients in the subgroup, 23 of whom lacked syndesmophytes. CART analysis showed females were less likely to have syndesmophytes. The next important predictor was age of symptom onset in males, with age of onset <= 16 years being less likely to have syndesmophytes. Univariable analysis confirmed females were less likely to have syndesmophytes (odds ratio [OR] 0.17, 95% CI 0.07-0.41). Syndesmophyte presence was associated with HLA-B27 positivity (P = 0.03) and age of symptom onset > 16 years old (OR 2.72, 95% CI 1.15-6.45). All 23 patients who lacked syndesmophytes were HLA-B27 positive.Conclusion. Using CART analysis and univariable modeling, women were less likely to have syndesmophytes despite advanced disease duration and SI joint disease. Patients with younger age of symptom onset were less likely to have syndesmophytes. All patients without syndesmophytes were HLA-B27 positive, indicating HLA-B27 positivity may be more associated with SI disease than spinal disease.