Rapid global spread of variants of concern of SARS-CoV-2

被引:5
|
作者
He, Daihai [1 ,2 ]
Cowling, Benjamin J. [3 ,4 ]
Ali, Sheikh Taslim [3 ,4 ]
Stone, Lewi [5 ,6 ]
机构
[1] Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Dept Appl Math, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
[2] Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Res Inst Future Food, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
[3] Univ Hong Kong, Li Ka Shing Fac Med, Sch Publ Hlth, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
[4] Lab Data Discovery Hlth, Hong Kong Sci & Technol Pk, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
[5] RMIT Univ, Sch Sci, Math Sci, Melbourne, Australia
[6] Tel Aviv Univ, Fac Life Sci, Sch Zool, Biomath Unit, Tel Aviv, Israel
来源
IJID REGIONS | 2023年 / 7卷
关键词
COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; Variant; Spread;
D O I
10.1016/j.ijregi.2022.12.005
中图分类号
R51 [传染病];
学科分类号
100401 ;
摘要
Objectives: Variants of concern (VOCs) of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), such as the Delta variant and the Omicron variant, have reached all countries/regions of the world and have had a tremendous impact. This study analyses the global spread of VOCs of SARS-CoV-2.Methods: Biweekly aggregated numbers of several VOCs were retrieved for 58 locations. The time interval for the proportion of VOC samples to exceed 60% (indicating dominance) among all samples sequenced in each location was calculated. The times taken for a VOC to become dominant in 12 (or 36) locations was defined in order to quantify the speed of spread.Results: It took 63, 56 and 28 days for the Alpha, Delta and Omicron variants to become dominant in 12 locations, respectively, and 133, 70 and 28 days for the Alpha, Delta and Omicron variants to become dominant in 36 locations.Conclusions: The Omicron variant has much higher transmission potential compared with the Delta variant, and the Delta variant has higher transmission potential compared with the pre-Delta VOCs.
引用
收藏
页码:63 / 65
页数:3
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