cancer;
Canada;
projections;
trends;
cancer incidence;
cancer prevalence;
cancer mortality;
cancer survival;
cancer management costs;
CANADA;
PREVALENCE;
D O I:
10.3390/curroncol30110725
中图分类号:
R73 [肿瘤学];
学科分类号:
100214 ;
摘要:
The impact of cancer in Alberta is expected to grow considerably, largely driven by population growth and aging. The Future of Cancer Impact (FOCI) initiative offers an overview of the present state of cancer care in Alberta and highlights potential opportunities for research and innovation across the continuum. In this paper, we present a series of detailed projections and analyses regarding cancer epidemiological estimates in Alberta, Canada. Data on cancer incidence and mortality in Alberta (1998-2018) and limited-duration cancer prevalence in Alberta (2000-2019) were collected from the Alberta Cancer Registry. We used the Canproj package in the R software to project these epidemiological estimates up to the year 2040. To estimate the direct management costs, we ran a series of microsimulations using the OncoSim All Cancers Model. Our findings indicate that from 2020, the total number of annual new cancer cases and cancer-related deaths are projected to increase by 56% and 49% by 2040, respectively. From 2019, the five-year prevalence of all cancers in Alberta is projected to increase by 86% by 2040. In line with these trends, the overall direct cost of cancer management is estimated to increase by 53% in 2040. These estimates and projections are integral to future strategic planning and investment.
机构:
Cent South Univ, Xiangya Hosp 2, Dept Gen Surg, 139 Renmin Rd, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R ChinaCent South Univ, Xiangya Hosp 2, Dept Gen Surg, 139 Renmin Rd, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China
Gong, Yi
Jiang, Qin
论文数: 0引用数: 0
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机构:
Cent South Univ, Xiangya Hosp 2, Dept Gen Surg, 139 Renmin Rd, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R ChinaCent South Univ, Xiangya Hosp 2, Dept Gen Surg, 139 Renmin Rd, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China
Jiang, Qin
Zhai, Mimi
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Cent South Univ, Xiangya Hosp 2, Clin Nursing Teaching & Res Sect, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China
Hunan Univ Chinese Med, Sch Nursing, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R ChinaCent South Univ, Xiangya Hosp 2, Dept Gen Surg, 139 Renmin Rd, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China
Zhai, Mimi
Tang, Tenglong
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h-index: 0
机构:
Cent South Univ, Xiangya Hosp 2, Dept Gen Surg, 139 Renmin Rd, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R ChinaCent South Univ, Xiangya Hosp 2, Dept Gen Surg, 139 Renmin Rd, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China
Tang, Tenglong
Liu, Sushun
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h-index: 0
机构:
Cent South Univ, Xiangya Hosp 2, Dept Gen Surg, 139 Renmin Rd, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R ChinaCent South Univ, Xiangya Hosp 2, Dept Gen Surg, 139 Renmin Rd, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China
机构:
Univ Alabama Birmingham, Sch Publ Hlth, Birmingham VA Med Ctr, Med Serv, Birmingham, AL 35294 USA
Univ Alabama Birmingham, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Med, Sch Med, Birmingham, AL 35294 USA
Univ Alabama Birmingham, Sch Publ Hlth, Div Epidemiol, Birmingham, AL 35294 USAUniv Alabama Birmingham, Sch Publ Hlth, Birmingham VA Med Ctr, Med Serv, Birmingham, AL 35294 USA
Singh, Jasvinder A.
Yu, Shaohua
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Alabama Birmingham, Sch Med, Dept Med, Birmingham, AL 35294 USAUniv Alabama Birmingham, Sch Publ Hlth, Birmingham VA Med Ctr, Med Serv, Birmingham, AL 35294 USA
Yu, Shaohua
Chen, Lang
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Alabama Birmingham, Sch Med, Dept Med, Birmingham, AL 35294 USAUniv Alabama Birmingham, Sch Publ Hlth, Birmingham VA Med Ctr, Med Serv, Birmingham, AL 35294 USA
Chen, Lang
Cleveland, John D.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Alabama Birmingham, Sch Med, Dept Med, Birmingham, AL 35294 USAUniv Alabama Birmingham, Sch Publ Hlth, Birmingham VA Med Ctr, Med Serv, Birmingham, AL 35294 USA
机构:
Univ North Carolina Chapel Hill, Dept Family Med, Chapel Hill, NC USA
Cecil G Sheps Ctr Hlth Serv Res, 25 MLK Blvd,CB 7590, Chapel Hill 27510, NC USAUniv North Carolina Chapel Hill, Dept Family Med, Chapel Hill, NC USA
Fraher, Erin
Knapton, Andy
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Strategic Modelling & Anal Ltd, Winchester, EnglandUniv North Carolina Chapel Hill, Dept Family Med, Chapel Hill, NC USA
Knapton, Andy
McCartha, Emily
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Cecil G Sheps Ctr Hlth Serv Res, 25 MLK Blvd,CB 7590, Chapel Hill 27510, NC USAUniv North Carolina Chapel Hill, Dept Family Med, Chapel Hill, NC USA
McCartha, Emily
Leslie, Laurel K.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Amer Board Pediat Inc, Chapel Hill, NC USA
Tufts Univ, Sch Med, Boston, MA USAUniv North Carolina Chapel Hill, Dept Family Med, Chapel Hill, NC USA
机构:
Univ Pittsburgh, Ctr Pharmacogenet, Pittsburgh, PA 15261 USA
Univ Pittsburgh, Dept Pharmaceut Sci, Pittsburgh, PA 15261 USAUniv Pittsburgh, Ctr Pharmacogenet, Pittsburgh, PA 15261 USA
Xi, Yue
Xu, Pengfei
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Pittsburgh, Ctr Pharmacogenet, Pittsburgh, PA 15261 USA
Univ Pittsburgh, Dept Pharmaceut Sci, Pittsburgh, PA 15261 USAUniv Pittsburgh, Ctr Pharmacogenet, Pittsburgh, PA 15261 USA
机构:
Capital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Thorac Surg, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaCapital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Thorac Surg, Beijing, Peoples R China
Liu, Chun-Quan
Ma, Yun-Lei
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Capital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Thorac Surg, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaCapital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Thorac Surg, Beijing, Peoples R China
Ma, Yun-Lei
Qin, Qi
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Capital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Thorac Surg, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaCapital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Thorac Surg, Beijing, Peoples R China
Qin, Qi
Wang, Pei-Hao
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Capital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Thorac Surg, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaCapital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Thorac Surg, Beijing, Peoples R China
Wang, Pei-Hao
Luo, Yi
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Capital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Thorac Surg, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaCapital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Thorac Surg, Beijing, Peoples R China
Luo, Yi
Xu, Peng-Fei
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Wuhan Univ, Sch Pharmaceut Sci, Wuhan, Peoples R China
Univ Pittsburgh, Ctr Pharmacogenet, Dept Pharmaceut Sci, Pittsburgh, PA USA
Wuhan Univ, Sch Pharmaceut Sci, Wuhan 430071, Peoples R ChinaCapital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Thorac Surg, Beijing, Peoples R China
Xu, Peng-Fei
Cui, Yong
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Capital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Thorac Surg, Beijing, Peoples R China
Capital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Thorac Surg, Beijing 100050, Peoples R ChinaCapital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Thorac Surg, Beijing, Peoples R China
机构:
Int Agcy Res Canc, Canc Surveillance Branch, Lyon, FranceGuangdong Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Hlth Stat, Dongguan, Peoples R China
Rumgay, Harriet
Li, Mengmeng
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Sun Yat sen Univ, Canc Ctr, Dept Canc Prevent, State Key Lab Oncol South China,Collaborat Innovat, Guangzhou, Peoples R ChinaGuangdong Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Hlth Stat, Dongguan, Peoples R China
Li, Mengmeng
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机构:
Yu, Haibing
Pan, Haiyan
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Guangdong Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Hlth Stat, Dongguan, Peoples R ChinaGuangdong Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Hlth Stat, Dongguan, Peoples R China
Pan, Haiyan
Ni, Jindong
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Guangdong Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Hlth Stat, Dongguan, Peoples R ChinaGuangdong Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Hlth Stat, Dongguan, Peoples R China