机构:
Natl Inst Space Res INPE, Ctr Weather Forecast, Climat Studies CPTEC, Cachoeira Paulista, BrazilUniv Oxford, Sch Geog & Environm, Oxford OX1 3QY, England
Coelho, Caio A. S.
[2
]
Chadwick, Robin
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Met Off Hadley Ctr, Exeter, England
Univ Exeter, Global Syst Inst, Dept Math, Exeter, EnglandUniv Oxford, Sch Geog & Environm, Oxford OX1 3QY, England
Chadwick, Robin
[3
,4
]
de Souza, Dayana C.
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h-index: 0
机构:
Natl Inst Space Res INPE, Ctr Weather Forecast, Climat Studies CPTEC, Cachoeira Paulista, BrazilUniv Oxford, Sch Geog & Environm, Oxford OX1 3QY, England
de Souza, Dayana C.
[2
]
Kubota, Paulo Y.
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机构:
Natl Inst Space Res INPE, Ctr Weather Forecast, Climat Studies CPTEC, Cachoeira Paulista, BrazilUniv Oxford, Sch Geog & Environm, Oxford OX1 3QY, England
Kubota, Paulo Y.
[2
]
Figueroa, Silvio N.
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机构:
Natl Inst Space Res INPE, Ctr Weather Forecast, Climat Studies CPTEC, Cachoeira Paulista, BrazilUniv Oxford, Sch Geog & Environm, Oxford OX1 3QY, England
Figueroa, Silvio N.
[2
]
Cavalcanti, Iracema F. A.
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机构:
Natl Inst Space Res INPE, Ctr Weather Forecast, Climat Studies CPTEC, Cachoeira Paulista, BrazilUniv Oxford, Sch Geog & Environm, Oxford OX1 3QY, England
circulation bias;
climate model evaluation;
precipitation bias;
rainy season precipitation;
South America;
tropical-extratropical cloud bands;
STEADY LINEAR-RESPONSE;
SCALE COMMON FEATURES;
BAIU FRONTAL ZONE;
CONVERGENCE ZONE;
VARIABILITY;
PRECIPITATION;
CIRCULATION;
ATMOSPHERE;
PATTERNS;
RAINFALL;
D O I:
10.1002/qj.4470
中图分类号:
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号:
0706 ;
070601 ;
摘要:
Tropical-extratropical cloud bands are common in South America (SAm), contributing significantly to the total rainy season precipitation. Thus, it is fundamental that climate and weather forecast models correctly represent them and their associated dynamic aspects. Adopting an event-based framework, we evaluate the performance of two global models in simulating the observed cloud bands over SAm: the Brazilian Global Atmospheric Model version 1.2 (BAM-1.2) and the Hadley Centre Global Environment Model in the Global Coupled configuration 3.1 (HadGEM3-GC3.1). Both models reproduce the main characteristics of cloud bands and the dynamical aspects leading to their development and persistence. Nonetheless, the biases in precipitation during simulated cloud bands contribute more than 50% of the bias in total precipitation in some regions. BAM-1.2 simulates fewer but more persistent cloud bands than observed; HadGEM3-GC3.1 simulates weaker cloud band activity during early summer and more persistent events after January than observed. In all models, the biases in cloud band events arise from the interaction between biases in the basic state and the synoptic-scale regional circulation. In the basic state, stronger upper level westerlies over the midlatitude South Pacific support the propagation of longer and slower Rossby waves towards subtropical SAm, increasing the duration of the cloud band events. This bias interacts with negative biases in the upper level westerlies over subtropical SAm, increasing the wind shear, hindering the propagation of synoptic-scale Rossby waves into lower latitudes, and resulting in biases in the cloud band location, intensity, and seasonality. The application in this study of an event-based framework robust to differences in model resolution and complexity enables the identification of small but critical biases in circulation. These biases are linked to synoptic-scale rainfall system biases and help to explain the season total rainfall model biases.