Forecast of China’s Forestation Area Based on ARIMA Model

被引：0
|
作者：
DUAN Wei CHEN WENHUI LI Qiang College of Economics and Management
机构：
来源：
Chinese Forestry Science and Technology | 2010年 / 9卷 / 02期
基金：
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助;
关键词：
man-made forest; ARIMA model; forecast;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
F224 [经济数学方法]; F326.2 [林业];
学科分类号：
0701 ; 070104 ; 120302 ;
摘要：
Man-made forest, which is the forest ecosystem of rehabilitation and reconstruction, plays a significant role in the provision of forest products and improvement the ecological environment. In this paper, we established the AR (5) model to predict China’s forest area from 2009 to 2015. This study shows the slow growth of the national plantation area trend with some fluctuations, but the overall growth rate is not large. We proposed that on one hand China should continue to increase the plantation area, on the other hand the quality of plantation should be ensured.
引用
收藏
页码：50 / 55
页数：6
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