PRE-ESTIMATE FOR THE CHANGE OF CLIMATIC VULNERABILITY TO AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION IN LOESS PLATEAU,CHINA

被引：0
|
作者：
Hou Yahong 1 and Liu Wenquan 2 (1. Department of Atmospheric Sciences of Nanjing University
2.Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences
机构：
来源：
Natural Disaster Reduction in China | 2003年 / 04期
关键词：
climatic change; vulnerability; agricultural production; Loess Plateau;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
S162 [农业气候];
学科分类号：
0903 ;
摘要：
In Loess Plateau, which has a vulnerable ecological condition, the influence of climatic change on agricultural production is great. Based on introducing the relative definitions of vulnerability and evaluations and schemes of climatic vuhnerability to agricultural production, this paper makes a preliminary evaluation on the vulnerable condition in 1997; and by using the relative results of GCM pre\|estimate, it estimates the possible changes of related index of the disaster; and estimates the future possible changes of climatic vulnerability to agricultural production in Loess Plateau. Its evaluation method and pre\|estimate results can provide a certain scientific basis to the decision of departments concerned.
引用
收藏
页码：38 / 41
页数：4
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