Simulated and projected relationship between the East Asian winter monsoon and winter Arctic Oscillation in CMIP5 models

被引：0
|
作者：
LI Shuo [1 ,2 ,3 ]
HE Sheng-Ping [1 ,4 ]
LI Fei [5 ]
WANG Hui-Jun [6 ,1 ,2 ]
机构：
[1] Nansen-Zhu International Research Center, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
[2] Climate Change Research Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences
[3] College of Earth Science, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
[4] Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research
[5] NILU–Norwegian Institute for Air Research
[6] Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters/Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education, Nanjing University for Information Science and Technology
来源：
Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters | 2018年 / 11卷 / 05期
基金：
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词：
East Asian winter monsoon(EAWM); winter Arctic Oscillation(AO); CMIP5; interdecadal change;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
P425.42 []; P434 [大气环流];
学科分类号：
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要：
观测资料显示,东亚冬季风与同期AO的关系在20世纪80年代发生年代际增强。通过考察CMIP5模式对这一现象的模拟情况,发现GFDL-ESM2M、GISS-E2-H和MPI-ESM-MR这3个模式能够再现EAWM-AO关系的年代际增强。进一步考察这3个模式的集合平均结果(MME)发现,冬季AO对EAWM环流系统以及东亚气温的影响均发生明显的年代际变化。通过考察MME模拟的EP通量结果发现,自20世纪80年代开始,在对流层从高纬度地区传播到副热带地区的EP通量异常明显增强,这是MME模拟结果中EAWM-AO关系发生年代际增强的主要原因。
引用
收藏
页码：417 / 424
页数：8
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