Projections of Global Mean Surface Temperature Under Future Emissions Scenarios Using a New Predictive Technique

被引：0

作者：

WANG Ge-Li ^{[1
]}

YANG Pei-Cai ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Key Laboratory of Middle Atmosphere and Global Environment Observations,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences

来源：

Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters | 2014年 / 7卷 / 03期

基金：

中国国家自然科学基金;

关键词：

climate prediction; driving forces; projection;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

X16 [环境气象学];

学科分类号：

0706 ; 070602 ;

摘要：

Using numerical model simulations,global surface temperature is projected to increase by 1°C to 4°C during the 21st century,primarily as a result of increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases.In the present study,a predictive technique incorporating driving forces into an observation time series was used to project the global mean surface temperature under four representative scenarios of future emissions over the 21st century.

引用

页码：186 / 189

页数：4

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