The ‘Two oceans and one sea' extended range numerical prediction system with an ultra-high resolution atmosphere-ocean-land regional coupled model

被引:0
|
作者
Zhang Shao-Qing [1 ]
Yang LIU [2 ]
Ma Xiao-Hui [1 ]
Wang Hong-Na [3 ]
Zhang Xue-Feng [4 ]
Yu Xiao-Lin [1 ,5 ]
Lu Lv [5 ]
机构
[1] Physical Oceanography Laboratory/CIMST, Ocean University of China & National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology
[2] Key Laboratory of Research on Marine Hazard Forecasting, National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center, Ministry of Natural Resources of the People's Republic of China
[3] Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences & National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology
[4] National Marine Information Center, Ministry of Natural Resources of the People's Republic of China
[5] College of Ocean and Atmosphere, Ocean University of China
关键词
数值预报系统; 超高分辨率; 多圈层耦合模型; 延伸期期预报;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
P45 [天气预报]; P732.4 [海洋天气预报];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
‘两洋一海’区域是‘21世纪海上丝绸之路’的重要空间载体,也是国防安全的核心战略海区。随着社会需求加剧,介于常规短期和气候尺度之间的延伸期(10–30天)预测的重要性逐渐突显。受限于海洋短期预报不含大气海洋快慢过程转化的信息存储机制、大气高频变化制约预报时效、全球气候预报分辨率较低、气陆海多圈层耦合机制理解不足及区域预报无较好初始化等问题,我国海洋延伸期预测工作仍是盲点,导致对一些海洋过程、灾害事件无法做出模拟及预警。本文将介绍基于区域超高分辨率多圈层耦合模型的两洋一海区域延伸期数值预测系统研制情况,包括研究内容,技术方案,创新和预期成果等。
引用
收藏
页码:364 / 371
页数:8
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