The epidemiological characteristics of an outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases (COVID-19) in China

被引:4
|
作者
Epidemiology Working Group for NCIP Epidemic Response
Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention
机构
[1] Beijing 102206
[2] Chin
[3] Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
2019 Novel Coronavirus; Outbreak; Epidemiological characteristics;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
R563.1 [肺炎]; R181.3 [流行病学各论];
学科分类号
1002 ; 100201 ; 100401 ;
摘要
Objective An outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases (COVID-19) in Wuhan, China has spread quickly nationwide. Here, we report results of a descriptive, exploratory analysis of all cases diagnosed as of February 11, 2020.Methods All COVID-19 cases reported through February 11, 2020 were extracted from China’s Infectious Disease Information System. Analyses included: 1) summary of patient characteristics; 2) examination of age distributions and sex ratios; 3) calculation of case fatality and mortality rates; 4) geo-temporal analysis of viral spread; 5) epidemiological curve construction; and 6) subgroup analysis.Results A total of 72 314 patient records-44 672 (61.8%) confirmed cases, 16 186 (22.4%) suspected cases, 10567 (14.6%) clinical diagnosed cases (Hubei only), and 889 asymptomatic cases (1.2%)-contributed data for the analysis. Among confirmed cases, most were aged 30-79 years (86.6%), diagnosed in Hubei (74.7%), and considered mild/mild pneumonia (80.9%). A total of 1 023 deaths occurred among confirmed cases for an overall case-fatality rate of 2.3%. The COVID-19 spread outward from Hubei sometime after December 2019 and by February 11, 2020, 1 386 counties across all 31 provinces were affected. The epidemic curve of onset of symptoms peaked in January 23-26, then began to decline leading up to February 11. A total of 1 716 health workers have become infected and 5 have died (0.3%).Conclusions The COVID-19 epidemic has spread very quickly. It only took 30 days to expand from Hubei to the rest of China’s mainland. With many people returning from a long holiday, China needs to prepare for the possible rebound of the epidemic.
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页码:145 / 151
页数:7
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