Weighted portmanteau statistics for testing for zero autocorrelation in dependent data

被引:0
|
作者
Muriel, N. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Iberoamer, Dept Fis & Matemat, CDMX, Prolongac Paseo Reforma 880,Lomas St Fe, Ciudad Mexico 01219, Mexico
关键词
Robust portmanteau; asymptotic tests; spurious correlation; financial time series; dependent time series; EFFICIENT CAPITAL-MARKETS; GOODNESS-OF-FIT; ASSET RETURNS;
D O I
10.1080/02664763.2024.2449413
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Zero autocorrelation test statistics of the portmanteau type are studied under dependence. The asymptotic distribution of statistics formed with weighted averages of the autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation functions is theoretically obtained and its accuracy is then analyzed via simulation and in an empirical application. In the simulation study, we find that the proposed statistics provide test with sizes quite close to their nominal, intended sizes and with power functions which show high sensitivity to deviations from the null. It also reveals, for all the lags studied, that the tests are increasingly precise as the sample size increases. An application to financial time series modeling is given where the importance of using robust portmanteau statistics is illustrated. Specifically, we show that traditional tests incur in large deviations from their nominal size, whereas robust tests do not.
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页数:18
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