NDVI and vegetation volume as predictors of urban bird diversity

Urban expansion and densification pose a challenge to urban biodiversity. Rapid estimation of biodiversity could help urban planners balance development and conservation goals. While the Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) has proven useful for predicting urban bird diversity, new products derived from remote sensing, such as vegetation volume, could provide more detailed descriptions of available habitat, potentially improving biodiversity predictions. We evaluated the effectiveness of NDVI and vegetation volume as predictors of urban bird diversity and local community composition for different buffers around 86 sampling points in Munich, Germany. Using linear models, we showed that a 100 m buffer best described bird diversity (highest R2) for both NDVI and vegetation volume compared to the other buffers. Contrary to expectations, NDVI was better than vegetation volume in predicting bird diversity (mean R2 NDVI = 0.47, mean R2 vegetation volume 0.37). We found a shift in community composition from species associated with human-modified landscapes to those associated with forests along an urban greenness gradient. In contrast to diversity, we found that vegetation volume was slightly better at predicting community composition. Using NDVI to predict bird diversity across Munich, we demonstrated its potential for predicting city-wide bird diversity. We discuss how such predictive maps can be used for urban planning and conservation. As urbanisation continues to impact global biodiversity, refining ecological models for urban planning will be crucial to developing more biodiverse urban environments.