Diagnostic Performance of Monocyte Distribution Width for the Detection of Sepsis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Objectives: To aggregate literature on the diagnostic performance of monocyte distribution width (MDW) for sepsis detection among adults in the emergency department and inpatient settings. Methods: We searched the MEDLINE, EMBASE, SCOPUS, and Cochrane databases for studies evaluating MDW for sepsis diagnosis in adults in the hospital setting through October 19, 2024. Two authors (G.E. and Q.H.) independently performed eligibility assessment, data extraction, and risk of bias assessment. We evaluated performance for sepsis-2 and sepsis-3 separately and applied separate diagnostic thresholds depending on the anticoagulant used in blood collection. Data were pooled using a random-effects model. We performed multiple sensitivity analyses to evaluate the stability of our findings. Results: Twenty-five observational studies comprising 39,041 patients were included. The area under the summary receiver operating curve (AUC) was 0.82 (95% CI, 0.78-0.85) for both sepsis-2 and sepsis-3. Sensitivity and specificity were 0.79 (95% CI, 0.74-0.83) and 0.7 (95% CI, 0.61-0.78) for sepsis-2 and 0.83 (95% CI, 0.78-0.88) and 0.64 (95% CI, 0.55-0.71) for sepsis-3. The threshold-independent weighted-average AUC was 0.76 (SD, 0.1) for sepsis-2 and 0.77 (SD, 0.07) for sepsis-3. The aggregate negative predictive value was 94% for sepsis-2 and 96% for sepsis-3. We observed similar performance across all sensitivity analyses. We assessed the overall quality of evidence to be low. Conclusions: MDW performs similarly to other biomarkers such as procalcitonin for the diagnosis of sepsis, with the unique advantage of rapid availability as part of routine testing.