Evaluating the impact of treatment sequencing on outcomes in hepatocellular carcinoma: a comparative analysis of TACE and systemic therapies

This study aimed to evaluate how the timing of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) relative to systemic therapy (tyrosine-kinase inhibitors [TKIs] and immune checkpoint inhibitors [ICIs]) influences oncological outcomes in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). A retrospective analysis was conducted on HCC patients treated with TACE plus TKIs and ICIs from January 2018 to February 2023. We compared objective response rate (ORR), disease control rate (DCR), overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS) between patients receiving TACE before versus after systemic therapies. Multivariate Cox regression analyses identified potential prognostic factors. Of the 194 patients enrolled, 111 received TACE before systemic therapies, and 83 after. The median age at diagnosis was 52.8 years. There were no significant differences in ORR (40.72% vs. 30.41%, p = 0.989) or DCR (48.45% vs. 35.57%, p = 0.770) between the groups. Likewise, OS (18.73 vs. 18.20 months, p = 0.091) and PFS (11.53 vs. 10.05 months, p = 0.336) were similar regardless of treatment sequence. In the result of Cox analysis, a 20% decrease in AFP from baseline at one month was associated with improved OS (HR = 0.35, 95% CI 0.17-0.70, p = 0.003) and PFS (HR = 0.69, 95% CI 0.49-0.96, p = 0.028). Large tumor size (>= 10 cm) was a poor prognostic factor for OS (HR = 2.12, 95% CI 1.07-4.21, p = 0.032), and the presence of portal vein tumor thrombus adversely affected PFS (HR = 2.31, 95% CI 1.47-3.62, p < 0.001). The sequencing of TACE and systemic therapies does not significantly impact the prognosis of advanced HCC. A 20% reduction in AFP within one month of treatment commencement emerges as a protective prognostic factor for HCC.