Principles of consistency and reliability for prior distributions selection in Bayesian method application

被引：1

作者：

Liu Q. ^{[1
]}

Wu X.-Y. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Coll. of Information Systems and Management, National Univ. of Defense Technology

来源：

Xi Tong Gong Cheng Yu Dian Zi Ji Shu/Systems Engineering and Electronics | 2010年 / 32卷 / 11期

关键词：

Bayes method; Consistency; Equipment; Fusion; Reliability;

D O I：

10.3969/j.issn.1001-506X.2010.11.22

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

Bayesian method has been widely used in equipment parameter evaluation and decision making. However, existing studies focus on the structure of prior distribution and the engineering applications of the method, and there are few discourses on the analysis of consistency among prior distributions and the reliability of prior informations. The definition and testing methods for consistency analysis are given, the hypothesis testing model of prior reliability is built. Based on an analysis of consistency and prior reliability, a prior information fusion model is constructed. For an equipment reliability analysis example, the calculation process of consistency and prior reliability is exhibited.

引用

页码：2356 / 2359

页数：3