EV charging load forecasting and optimal scheduling based on travel characteristics

Accurate prediction of EV charging load distribution is not only the basis of evaluating the capacity of distribution network to receive EV, but also the necessary premise to promote the research of charging station planning and vehicle-network interaction. Based on this, firstly, according to the travel characteristics of electric private car and taxi users, this paper constructs the models of speed-flow and EV power consumption per mileage, thus, the real-time changes of vehicle speed and power consumption per mileage are simulated. Secondly, consider factors such as charging price, time, and power consumption along the way, as well as multiple sources of information such as traffic networks, vehicles, public quick charging stations, and distribution networks, the OD matrix analysis method is introduced to simulate EV moving characteristics for EV trip assignment matrix, and the EV charging load forecasting system with real-time interaction of multi-source information is established. Finally, the second-order cone optimization method is used to optimize the space-time distribution of regional charging load. The model and method proposed in this paper are more consistent with the actual situation and can improve the accuracy of prediction. © 2024 Elsevier Ltd