Carbon emission reduction policy in the power generation sector based on system dynamics with “dual carbon” targets

被引：0
|
作者：
Li L. [1 ,2 ]
Zhang Z. [1 ]
Bi G. [1 ]
Kan X. [1 ]
Chen S. [1 ]
机构：
[1] School of Electric Power Engineering, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming
[2] School of Engineering, Design and Physical Sciences, Brunel University, London
来源：
Dianli Xitong Baohu yu Kongzhi/Power System Protection and Control | 2024年 / 52卷 / 12期
基金：
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词：
carbon emission; carbon emission reduction; electricity market; green certificate; system dynamics;
D O I：
10.19783/j.cnki.pspc.231656
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
Energy structure transformation and carbon emission reduction policies are important initiatives to realize the “dual-carbon” goal. This paper aims to explore the coupling role of carbon emission reduction policy and market trading mechanism in the power generation sector in a “dual-carbon” background. It studies the coupling and synergistic effect between the green certificate market trading, the carbon emission market trading and the power market mechanisms. It takes into account factors such as price influence inter-market mechanism, energy structure analysis and technological innovation, to set up a system dynamics model and carry out a multi-scenario simulation. This studies the impact of different combinations of policies on market equilibrium and carbon emission reduction in the power sector. Through the sensitivity analysis of the model, this paper evaluates the potential impact of various policy measures on system behavior, analyzes the mechanism of the policy system and its synergy mechanism, and clarifies the phenomena of redundant incentives and offsetting effect that may exist among different policies. It concludes that the effective combination of carbon emission reduction policies will enable the installed share of thermal power to fall to 45% in the next decade, and the share of renewable energy to exceed 50% to equal or even exceed that of traditional energy. It is suggested that the successful implementation of carbon emission reduction policies requires comprehensive consideration of market regulation, incentive mechanisms, technological innovation and other factors. © 2024 Power System Protection and Control Press. All rights reserved.
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页码：69 / 81
页数：12
相关论文
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