Real estate price estimation through a fuzzy partition-driven genetic algorithm

Evaluating the actual price of a residential property is a critical issue in the real estate market. Real estate market practitioners gauge a property's price by considering features such as property type and residential area. Subsequently, they evaluate the property's intrinsic features, such as condition, sun exposure, scenic views, and ancillary amenities. Finally, extrinsic features such as the proximity of services and infrastructure are assessed. This paper proposes a new genetic approach for selecting residential properties that meet the purchase offer and the intrinsic and extrinsic characteristics desired by the client. Since the real estate market's changes can influence extrinsic features, the method introduces price fluctuations of properties. Extrinsic features are modelled as fuzzy partitions: each fuzzy set describes a qualitative aspect of the corresponding feature that, expressed in a linguistic term, has a human-like interpretation. Then, a deviation value (fluctuation) from the average price of the property is considered for each fuzzy set in the partition. All the property features, extrinsic and intrinsic, are encoded in the chromosome genes of the genetic algorithm. The fitness function calculates the distance between the unit price of the property and the purchase offer. Some case studies were conducted in various Italian municipalities, using the average price per square meter of residential properties the Osservatorio del Mercato Immobiliare (OMI) assigned. Depending on customer requirements and preferences, different OMI zones were selected using additional characteristics such as type, location, conservation, and proximity to various urban services. The results demonstrated the effectiveness of the proposed approach for all the case studies, showing how the optimal solution represents a good compromise between customer preferences and market offerings. © 2024 The Authors