Influence analysis of various factors to acquiring probability of anti-ship missile with shooting at target's immediate position

Anti-ship missile with shooting at target's immediate position only shoots at target's immediate position without considering target's maneuver and measuring target's states during the programmed flight period, which increases the factors of influencing the acquiring probability. The traditional computing models can not reflect the influence of various factors on the acquiring probability roundly. Therefore, the computing models for the acquiring probability of anti-ship missile with shooting at target's immediate position is constructed by considering various factors gradually and regarding the platform position error, target's maneuvering limit and target's position indication error as circular distribution. Simulation results show that the main factors influencing the acquiring probability of the anti-ship missile with shooting at target's immediate position are the attack distance and azimuth coverage; various errors also have not to be neglected influences on the acquiring probability; and acquiring probability is hard to reach 0.99 when the target's position indication error is 5 km or the platform position error is 3 km.