On a new method for the stochastic perturbation of the disease transmission coefficient in SIS models

被引:0
|
作者
Lanconelli, Alberto [1 ]
Perçin, Berk Tan [2 ]
机构
[1] Dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche Paolo Fortunati, Universitá di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
[2] Dipartimento di Fisica e Astronomia Augusto Righi, Universitá di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
关键词
Cell proliferation - Transmissions - Differential equations - White noise - Gaussian noise (electronic) - Stochastic models;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
In this study we investigate a novel approach to stochastically perturb the disease transmission coefficient, which is a key parameter in susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) models. Motivated by the papers [5] and [2], we perturb the disease transmission coefficient with a Gaussian white noise, formally modelled as the time derivative of a mean reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. We remark that, thanks to a suitable representation of the solution to the deterministic SIS model, this perturbation is rigorous and supported by a Wong-Zakai approximation argument that consists in smoothing the singular Gaussian white noise and then taking limit of the solution from the approximated model. We prove that the stochastic version of the classic SIS model obtained this way preserves a crucial feature of the deterministic equation: the reproduction number dictating the two possible asymptotic regimes for the infection, i.e. extinction and persistence, remains unchanged. We then identify the class of perturbing noises for which this property holds and propose simple sufficient conditions for that. All the theoretical discoveries are illustrated and discussed with the help of several numerical simulations. © 2021
引用
收藏
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] On a new method for the stochastic perturbation of the disease transmission coefficient in SIS models
    Lanconelli, Alberto
    Percin, Berk Tan
    [J]. APPLIED MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTATION, 2022, 413
  • [2] Effects of stochastic perturbation on the SIS epidemic system
    Lahrouz, Aadil
    Settati, Adel
    Akharif, Abdelhadi
    [J]. JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY, 2017, 74 (1-2) : 469 - 498
  • [3] Effects of stochastic perturbation on the SIS epidemic system
    Aadil Lahrouz
    Adel Settati
    Abdelhadi Akharif
    [J]. Journal of Mathematical Biology, 2017, 74 : 469 - 498
  • [4] Asymptotic behavior of a multigroup SIS epidemic model with stochastic perturbation
    Jing Fu
    Qixing Han
    Yuguo Lin
    Daqing Jiang
    [J]. Advances in Difference Equations, 2015
  • [5] Asymptotic behavior of a multigroup SIS epidemic model with stochastic perturbation
    Fu, Jing
    Han, Qixing
    Lin, Yuguo
    Jiang, Daqing
    [J]. ADVANCES IN DIFFERENCE EQUATIONS, 2015,
  • [6] Extended Probability Perturbation Method for Calibrating Stochastic Reservoir Models
    Lin Y. Hu
    [J]. Mathematical Geosciences, 2008, 40 : 875 - 885
  • [7] Extended Probability Perturbation Method for Calibrating Stochastic Reservoir Models
    Hu, Lin Y.
    [J]. MATHEMATICAL GEOSCIENCES, 2008, 40 (08) : 875 - 885
  • [8] Stochastic SIS metapopulation models for the spread of disease among species in a fragmented landscape
    Ekanayake, Amy J.
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMATHEMATICS, 2016, 9 (04)
  • [9] A stochastic sis infection model incorporating indirect transmission
    Clancy, D
    [J]. JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY, 2005, 42 (03) : 726 - 737
  • [10] An SIS epidemic model with time delay and stochastic perturbation on heterogeneous networks
    Sun, Meici
    Liu, Qiming
    [J]. MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES AND ENGINEERING, 2021, 18 (05) : 6790 - 6805