Research on Phased-mission Success Probability Assessment under Random Common Cause Failures

被引：0
|
作者：
Cao W.-B. [1 ]
Hu Q.-W. [1 ]
Su X.-J. [2 ]
Zhao J.-M. [1 ]
机构：
[1] Department of Management Engineering, Ordnance Engineering College, Shijiazhuang, 050003, Hebei
[2] Department of Artillery Engineering, Ordnance Engineering College, Shijiazhuang, 050003, Hebei
来源：
Binggong Xuebao/Acta Armamentarii | 2017年 / 38卷 / 04期
关键词：
Binary decision diagram; Phased-mission; Random common cause failure; Success probability; System assessment and feasibility;
D O I：
10.3969/j.issn.1000-1093.2017.04.019
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
Common cause failure exists in the performing process of military equipment mission. The reasonable modeling of the common cause failure events is of great significance to the accurate assessment of mission success probability. A kind of random common cause failure has not been considered in the existing mission success probability assessment models for phased-mission system. The implicit BDD (binary decision diagrams) method is used to model the phased-mission success probability when the occurrence of the random common cause failure event follows a certain distribution. A real example is used to verify the validity of the proposed model. The results show that the proposed model can be used to assess the phased-mission success probability considering random common cause failure, and the reasonable modeling mission profile contributes to the accurate evaluation of mission success probability. © 2017, Editorial Board of Acta Armamentarii. All right reserved.
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页码：766 / 775
页数：9
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