Research on LS-SVM wind speed prediction method based on PSO

被引:0
|
作者
机构
[1] Zhu, Xiaoxun
[2] Han, Zhonghe
来源
| 1600年 / Chinese Society for Electrical Engineering卷 / 36期
关键词
Forecasting - Wind speed - Particle swarm optimization (PSO);
D O I
10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.152005
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
The impact on LS-SVM prediction model accuracy of the embedding dimension d and time delay τ were studied, which were used as a space reconstruction parameter. And LS-SVM prediction method based on PSO parameter optimization was proposed. In this method, particle swarm algorithm was used to optimize the embedding dimension d, time delay τ and other model parameters (regularization parameter γ, kernel function parameter σ), and then established prediction model. 2 groups of wind speed were predicted by using this method. The prediction error is about 5.79% and 7.33%, and the error of the contrast method (optimize γ, σ only) is 8.22% and 11.10%. The results show that the optimal selection of d, τ, γ, σ is necessary. Compare with the comparison model, this method can greatly improve the prediction accuracy. © 2016 Chin. Soc. for Elec. Eng.
引用
收藏
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction Based on LS-SVM
    Han, Xiaojuan
    Chen, Fang
    Cao, Hui
    Li, Xiangjun
    Zhang, Xilin
    [J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE 10TH WORLD CONGRESS ON INTELLIGENT CONTROL AND AUTOMATION (WCICA 2012), 2012, : 3200 - 3204
  • [2] Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction Method Based on Time Series Combined with LS-SVM
    Han, Xiaojuan
    Zhang, Xilin
    Chen, Fang
    Song, Zhihui
    Wang, Chengmin
    [J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE 31ST CHINESE CONTROL CONFERENCE, 2012, : 7593 - 7597
  • [3] Research on Modeling of Wind Turbine based on LS-SVM
    Yang, Xiyun
    Cui, Yuqi
    Zhang, Hongsheng
    Tang, Ningning
    [J]. 2009 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SUSTAINABLE POWER GENERATION AND SUPPLY, VOLS 1-4, 2009, : 1207 - +
  • [4] The research of gas prediction based on LS-SVM and ICA
    [J]. Gong, Xingyu, 1600, Binary Information Press (10):
  • [5] Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction Model of LS-SVM Based on Genetic Algorithm
    Han Xiaojuan
    Zhang Xilin
    Gao Bo
    [J]. ADVANCED TECHNOLOGY IN TEACHING - PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2009 3RD INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON TEACHING AND COMPUTATIONAL SCIENCE (WTCS 2009), VOL 1: INTELLIGENT UBIQUITIOUS COMPUTING AND EDUCATION, 2012, 116 : 221 - +
  • [6] PSO based LS-SVM Approach for Fault Prediction of Primary Air Fan
    Yang, Qian
    Yang, Qiang
    Yan, Wenjun
    Wang, Tiankun
    [J]. 2015 CHINESE AUTOMATION CONGRESS (CAC), 2015, : 75 - 80
  • [7] Research on Fault Diagnosis Method of Wind Turbine Based on Wavelet Analysis and LS-SVM
    Liu, Changliang
    Qi, Weixue
    [J]. APPLIED ENERGY TECHNOLOGY, PTS 1 AND 2, 2013, 724-725 : 593 - 597
  • [8] Cost Prediction of Equipment System Using LS-SVM with PSO
    Guo, Shangfen
    Jiang, Tiejun
    [J]. 2007 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS, NETWORKING AND MOBILE COMPUTING, VOLS 1-15, 2007, : 5285 - 5288
  • [9] Wind Power Prediction Based on LS-SVM Model with Error Correction
    Zhang, Yagang
    Wang, Penghui
    Ni, Tao
    Cheng, Penglai
    Lei, Shuang
    [J]. ADVANCES IN ELECTRICAL AND COMPUTER ENGINEERING, 2017, 17 (01) : 3 - 8
  • [10] Power Prediction Research of Wind Farm Based on LS-SVM Multi-model Modeling
    Chen, Bei
    [J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2017 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MANUFACTURING ENGINEERING AND INTELLIGENT MATERIALS (ICMEIM 2017), 2017, 100 : 619 - 624