Impacts of a New Rail Transit Line on Travel Mode Choice

被引：0
|
作者：
Li J.-H. [1 ,2 ]
Yang G.-H. [1 ,2 ]
Ding Y. [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Liu J.-F. [1 ,2 ]
机构：
[1] Beijing Urban Construction Design & Development Group Co. Ltd., Beijing
[2] MOT R & D Center of Transport Industry of Comprehensive Emergency Technologies and Equipments of Urban Rail, Beijing
[3] School of Traffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing
来源：
Jiaotong Yunshu Xitong Gongcheng Yu Xinxi/Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology | 2022年 / 22卷 / 05期
关键词：
Multinomial Logit model (MNL Model); sensitivity analysis; stated preference (SP) survey; travel mode choice; urban traffic;
D O I：
10.16097/j.cnki.1009-6744.2022.05.014
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
This study explores the impacts of opening a new rail transit line on traveler's mode choice. A stated preference (SP) survey focusing on the travel mode shift was conducted, and the Multinomial Logit (MNL) models were proposed to estimate the model choice behavior of daily travel and commuting travel. Moreover, this paper quantitatively analyzes the influence of individual socio-economic attributes and travel mode attributes on travel mode shift. The results indicate that for daily trips with same travel time, the perceived negative utility (PNU) of urban rail transit (URT) passenger is 91.0% of that of bus passenger, and the PNU of commuting trip is 1.89 times of the average level of daily trips. Besides, URT travel time is proved to be the most significant factor affecting URT share. While travel time changes by 50.0%, URT share will change by approximately 10%. The research also reveals that bus is the most competitive mode for URT. The share of URT would increase by 6.80% when the bus travel time increases by 50%. A limited increase of parking fee or travel time cannot significantly shift the travelers using the car to the URT. Traffic demand management would be an effective way to promote mode shift. © 2022 Science Press. All rights reserved.
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页码：135 / 140
页数：5
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