Stock Price Prediction Based on a Hybrid Quantum-Classical Neural Network Model

被引:0
|
作者
Zhang X. [1 ]
Gao Z. [1 ]
Wu L. [1 ]
Li X. [1 ]
Lu M. [2 ]
机构
[1] CCB Fintech Co. Ltd. Pudong New Area, Shanghai
[2] Sichuan Yuanjiang Technology Co. Ltd., Chengdu
关键词
Deep learning; Hybrid quantum-classical neural network; Quantum finance; Stock market prediction; Technical indicators;
D O I
10.12178/1001-0548.2021394
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
Stock price prediction is essentially a problem of data mining. The market trend is a good signal for stock trading timing. In quantitative analysis, deep learning technology is often used to fit and extract the characteristics of the market historical data, so as to provide decision-making references for stock investment. In this paper, a classical deep neural network is presented and trained to implement supervised learning based on the daily candlestick chart's volume and price data of CSI 300; a binary predictor is realized to output the ''rise'' or ''fall'' labels and simulate the transaction with the strategy of the predictor; and then the test data set is utilized to calculate the cumulative rate of return, so as to estimate the advantages and disadvantages of the investment strategy. In addition, another hybrid quantum-classical neural network model is constructed, it makes full use of the characteristics of the circuit model of quantum computing to form the parameterized variational quantum circuit and realize the quantum implementation of feedforward neural network. In the frame of quantum circuit learning, the stock indicators are encoded into the amplitude of quantum states and the parameters θ of the quantum neural network U are trained, and finally an optimal classifier is obtained after iterations. The results show the characteristics of strong expression and high robustness: the run-time of the quantum algorithm is 7.7% shorter than that of the classical algorithm and the prediction accuracy is higher, resulting in a return rate advantage of 3%. Copyright ©2022 Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China. All rights reserved.
引用
下载
收藏
页码:16 / 23
页数:7
相关论文
共 30 条
  • [1] DIXON M F, HALPERIN I, BILOKON P., Machine learning in finance: From theory to practice, (2020)
  • [2] ZHANG S B, HUANG X, CHANG Y, Et al., Research progress and perspectives of quantum machine learning in big data environment, Journal of University of Electronic Science and technology, 50, 6, pp. 802-819, (2021)
  • [3] JIANG W., Applications of deep learning in stock market prediction: Recent progress, Expert Systems with Applications, 184, (2021)
  • [4] ZHAO J, CHEN Z Y, ZHUANG X N, Et al., Quantum state preparation and its prospects in quantum machine learning, Acta Physica Sinica, 70, 14, (2021)
  • [5] LI N, CHENG J F, QIAN F., Weighted signal tensor subspace fitting algorithm, Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, 42, 4, pp. 546-548, (2013)
  • [6] WU Y F, WANG Y B, Application prospect of quantum technology in financial field in fintech era, China Financial Computer, 12, pp. 41-45, (2020)
  • [7] LIU C., Application of quantum computing in financial industry, Investment and Cooperation, 4, pp. 11-12, (2021)
  • [8] YU X S., Analysis on the application prospect of quantum computing in the development of intelligent Finance, International Finance, 2, pp. 35-41, (2020)
  • [9] LI Z, YANG D, ZHAO L, Et al., Individualized indicator for all: Stock-wise technical indicator optimization with stock embedding, Proceedings of the 25th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining, pp. 894-902
  • [10] NIELSEN M A., Neural networks and deep learning, (2015)