Maximum standardised uptake value of positron emission tomography as a predictor of oesophageal cancer outcomes

Objectives This study aimed to analyse the value of pre-operative F-18-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (PET)-computed tomography that can predict tumour pathological complete response, tumour histology grade, overall survival, and recurrence-free survival in patients with locally advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma who underwent neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) followed by surgery. Methods We retrospectively reviewed the cases of patients with locally advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma undergoing NCRT followed by surgery. Patients who did not undergo PET within 3 months of surgery were excluded. We set a pre-operative PET maximum standardised uptake value (SUVmax) of > 5 as the threshold and classified the patients into two groups. We analysed the tumour response and histology grade, and compared the overall survival and recurrence-free survival between the two groups. Results This cohort included 92 patients with oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma who underwent NCRT followed by surgery; 49 patients had a pre-operative PET SUVmax < 5, and 43 patients had a pre-operative PET SUVmax > 5. The patients' pre-operative PET SUVmax correlated with tumour histology, ypT stage, and tumour response. Patients with a pre-operative SUVmax < 5 had better 2-year-overall survival (78% vs. 62%, P < 0.05) and 2-year recurrence-free survival (62% vs. 34%, P < 0.05) than those with a pre-operative SUV > 5. Conclusions Pre-operative SUVmax may be useful to predict tumour response, survival, and recurrence in patients with locally advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma who undergo NCRT followed by surgery.